Trump’s Texas-sized redistricting dreams: From the Politics Desk

Welcome to the online version of Of the policy desktopA night bulletin that provides the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Politics team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign.

In today’s edition, we immerse ourselves in the ambitions of President Donald Trump in Texas, where Republicans are ready to draw their Maps of Congress. In addition, Steve Kornacki explores the dilemma that faces the opponents of Zohran Mamdani in the New York City Mayor’s career.

Register to receive this bulletin in your entrance tray every day of the week here.

– Adam Wollner


The Dreams of Redistribution of Districts of the Texas Size of Trump

President Donald Trump is establishing a high objective for Texas Republicans while preparing to address their Maps of Congress: it wants the party to collect five seats in the House of Representatives as a result of the process.

“A very simple redise that we collect five seats,” Trump told reporters.

That could be a difficult task, since Republicans already control 25 of the 38 districts of the Texas Congress. The specific areas to the Republican party could point when they are redirected in the special legislative session next week they still are clear. But two of them could be the districts of southern Texas, from southern Texas, which Trump won in 2024.

According to an analysis of the NBC News decision table, Trump took the district of the representative Henry Cuellar by 7 points and the district of the representative Vicente González for 4 points last year. Cuellar won his seat for less than 6 points, while González won for less than 3 points.

But any effort to place more Republican voters in the Democratic districts runs the risk of making the districts controlled by the GOP more competitive. That is why some Republicans of the House of Representatives in Texas have been skeptical about the effort.

Even so, Trump pushed Governor Greg Abbott to be coming with an impulse of redistribution of districts of mid -decade not scheduled. It underlines the challenge facing the Republicans in protection, and much less expansion, its thin majority of the shaving house next year. As Steve Kornacki recently pointed out, the president’s party has lost seats in the house in 13 of the last 15 half -period elections, and in many of those cases, those losses were steep.

Trump minimized the potential risk of re -drawing the Texas map during a call with the Republicans of the House of Representatives in the state today, Melanie Zanona reported, ensuring members who could succeed in creating several new Republican seats, according to the source of the call. (PunchBowl News was the first to inform the call).

Senator John Cornyn, who faces a main republican challenge by state attorney general Ken Paxton, publicly supported the move. In an X publication, he argued that “Hispanic voters in Texas have quickly changed in favor of the Republican Party,” which means that the impulse of redistribution “will mean significant profits for Texas Republicans.”

Democrats have been eager to participate in the subject. The governor of California, Gavin Newsom, a potential presidential contender of 2028, has even floated redesigning the maps of his state to counteract the efforts of the Republican Party in Texas. But that is also easier to say it than to do it: in California, an independent commission controls the process of redistribution of districts.

“It’s painfully clear why Republicans are doing this,” said representative Suzan Delbene, president of the Campaign Committee of the Democratic Congress. They know they will lose most next year. ”


Mamdani’s opponents are locked in a look contest in New York

Steve Kornacki analysis

Andrew Cuomo’s decision to remain in the race for the mayor of New York City means that there are three important alternatives of general elections to Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani. Each recognizes that the only one (possibly) plausible way of knocking Mamdani is consolidating the opposition to him behind a single opponent.

But when they look at each other, everyone thinks the same: why would I go for this guy?

Start with Cuomo. All the surveys available from the June primary make it run ahead of the current Mayor Eric Adams and Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa in a multi -dollar race against Mamdani. That is why Cuomo is asking Adams and Sliwa to leave the race if they have not surpassed it in September.

But everything else about the position of Cuomo shouts “weakness.” His 12 -point Democratic loss against Mamdani amounted to political humiliation, since he reached the race as the overwhelming favorite. And although secondly, Cuomo’s general support in the available surveys is only 24% and 26%.

The resistance to the former governor, who left the position in scandal four years ago, seems to be high. An Emerson College survey this spring gave a 41-47% favorable/unfavorable brand with all voters in New York City. And a survey published Monday by Data for Progress (which has done work for a Pro-Mamdani group) set it at 39%-59%. At 67, Cuomo’s energy level has also been questioned thanks to a limited public schedule and a series of public actions that were ridiculed as indicated.

The way Adams and Sliwa see it, Cuomo already had the opportunity to stop Mamdani, and showed that it was not up to it. But good luck convincing Cuomo that any of them would be better.

As a holder, Adams has the ability to make noise and attract attention at will. And with new numbers that show a decrease in violent crime, Adams is trying to convince New Yorkers that it finally has the city pointing in the right direction.

But their liabilities are huge. Even before his accusation last year for federal corruption positions, Adams was an unpopular mayor. And from the accusation, and perhaps even more significantly, since the department of justice of President Donald Trump left the case, the floor has fallen for Adams. May Emerson’s survey put its favorable qualification in just 19%, compared to 68% unfavorable. None of the post-primary surveys has been better.

For its part, Sliwa exercises a block of voters simply running in the line of the Republican Party. Republicans are a minority determined in New York City, but still represent a little more than 1 in 10 registered voters. And SLIWA himself is a family presence for New Yorkers: he launched The Guardian Angels in the 1980s high crime and has remained visible in local media since then. But the limits of his appeal apparently clarified four years ago when, as nominated for the Republican Party against Adams, he won only 28% of the votes and lost for 40 points.

And then Cuomo, Adams and Sliwa are locked in a look contest. Each one has a claim from a part of the electorate. Each one believes that they could beat Mamdani, if only the others leave. And each one has all the reasons to believe that others are full of that.


🗞️ The other main stories today

  • 📈 Inflation clock: Consumer prices increased in June when Trump rates began to make their way through the US economy. Read more →
  • 🪧 Big, beautiful?: Some Republican strategists said they are advising legislators who sell the Megabill Trump signed as the “family tax cuts that work” to give voters a clearer idea than what it does. Read more →
  • 🌎 As Maga World turns: Some conservative Republicans in Congress are breaking with the management of Trump of the archives related to the deceased financial and the sentenced sexual offender Jeffrey Epstein. Read more →
  • 🖋️ The automatic pilot is more powerful: The documents show that some of the letters of the representative James Eat, R-Ky., They sent in relation to their investigation into the use of former President Joe Biden of an “autopilot” to sign documents were signed using a digital signature. Read more →
  • ✂️ An expense cutting: The Senate Republicans agreed to eliminate $ 400 million in cuts to Pepfar, the foreign aid program of the Bush Era to combat HIV/AIDS, of the Trump termination package before a procedural vote. Read more →
  • 🪙 Roadbock of crypto vote: Thirteen Republicans of the House of Representatives voted with all the Democrats to defeat a procedural rule that would have allowed a series of cryptographic legislators that legislators are considering this week to reach the floor. Read more →
  • ☀️ Florida, Florida, Florida: A former lawyer of the Chamber Committee investigated by the Capitol Riot of January 6, 2021 was running for Congress as a Democrat against the representative Maria Elvira Salazar, R-Fla. Meanwhile, Salazar presented a bill with the Veronica Escobar representative, D-Texas, which would provide legal status for certain undocumented immigrants.
  • ⚖️ In court: The representative Cory Mills, R-Fla., Faces to a lawsuit that seeks its eviction for alleged lack of paying thousands of dollars for rent on a property in Washington, DC, according to judicial documents. Read more →
  • 🤔 To accuse or not accuse: The representative to Green, D-Texas, said he plans to bring more political articles against Trump in the future, while the Democrats of the House of Representatives face the policy of such efforts. Read more →

That’s all of the politics desk for now. Today’s bulletin was compiled by Adam Wollner and Dylan EBS.

If you have comments, I like it or do not like, send us an email to PolyticsNewsletter@nbcuni.com

And if you are a fan, share with everyone and anyone. They can register here.




Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *