Trudeau news: Poilievre’s Conservatives end 2024 with 26-point advantage on Liberals: Nanos


Pierre Poilievre’s Conservatives are closing out 2024 by hitting a new long-term high in electoral support, with a 26-point lead over the Liberals amid calls for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau to resign.

According to the latest weekly voting tracking from Nanos Research, the federal Conservatives currently have 47 per cent of support, compared to 21 per cent for the Liberals. Jagmeet Singh’s NDP is not far behind, with 17 per cent support.

“What it means is that, going into 2025, the biggest winner is Pierre Poilievre and the Conservatives, and the biggest losers are both Justin Trudeau and Jagmeet Singh, because both the numbers for them and their parties are down at the close of 2024 “. said Nik Nanos, chief data scientist at Nanos Research.

This comes as the country waits to find out how Trudeau will respond to calls for him to resign or call an election in early 2025.

After a difficult fall session ended in chaos with the surprise resignation of Chrystia Freeland, Singh said his party was ready to withdraw its support for the Liberal minority government in the new year. Poilievre is pushing for that no-confidence vote to take place as soon as Parliament resumes.

Over the holidays, the Ontario and Atlantic caucuses made calls for Trudeau to resign, and now it appears the Quebec caucus has reached that consensus as well. Nanos said the turmoil within the Liberal Party is “definitely” having an impact on Canadians.

Nanos’ following also makes Poilievre the preferred choice for prime minister among 40 per cent of Canadians surveyed, followed by Trudeau at 17.4 per cent and Singh at 13.9 per cent. Another 18 percent of voters said they weren’t sure who they preferred.

Asked if he thinks there is still room for the Liberals to turn things around in the next election year, Nanos said the party could improve its positions, but “beating the Conservatives is a completely different game.”

“They would really need Pierre Poilievre and the conservatives to make some kind of huge mistake, because right now the election is for Pierre Poilievre and the conservatives to lose,” Nanos said. “The liberals are fighting not only internally, but they are fighting for time for a change, which is a huge force right now led by Pierre Poilievre.”

The latest figures from Nanos indicate that jobs and the economy will be a key area that all parties must focus on in 2025. It says the proportion of Canadians concerned about those issues has “increased dramatically” in the last month, reaching a level of four years. high.

“Canadians want to hear from all federal party leaders where they stand on prosperity, on where jobs are going to come from, and this in the context of Donald Trump, President-elect Trump, who will take office on January 20 and the tariffs that may or may not come into force,” Nanos said.

“Canadians basically want to have answers not only about how we are going to manage Donald Trump and address that relationship, but also what our strategy is as a country to create jobs and strengthen our economy.”


Methodology


1,014 random interviews recruited through an RDD (landline and cellular) random telephone survey of 1,014 Canadians aged 18 years and older, ending December 27, 2024. This data is based on a four-week rolling average where each week the group oldest of 250 interviews are removed and a new group of 250 is added. A random telephone survey of 1,014 Canadians has a precision of 3.1 percentage points, give or take, 19 out of 20 times.



Source link

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *