The devastating electoral losses of the Democratic Party do not translate into shit for the party, but they are an important sign that some significant structural changes are needed, analysts say.
“I don’t believe the claims that this is all for the NDP,” said Andrea Lawlor, associate professor of Political Science at McMaster University.
“But for them it is the type of organizational crisis that will require a lot of attention and search for the soul to return to a base where Canadians see them as a third really fundamental option.”
It is projected that the NDP, which had 24 seats in the solution, ends with just over six percent of popular votes and seven seats, resulting in the worst demonstration in the history of the party. It was crushed in provinces such as BC, where it is projected that it will lose 10 of its 13 seats, and in Ontario, where it is projected to be annihilated, losing the five lots it had.
The results led the NDP leader Jagmeet Singh to announce his resignation, while the bad sample of his party means that he will not have official status in the House of Commons.
Without this state, the NDP will miss crucial parliamentary financing, they will be allowed to ask less questions during the period of the question and probably cannot participate. YoN parliamentary committees.
He suffered a significant defeat before in 1993, when, led by Audrey McLaughlin, he won only nine seats and also lost the official status.
Its peak remains the 2011 election, when leader Jack Layton set up the “Olange Ola” to a record of 103 seats and the official state of the opposition.
The party suffered a decrease in voting votes and the seat count
But since that wave, which is believed to have a large extent in Layton’s personality than the party’s policy, there has been a repeated decrease in the participation of votes of the party and the seat count.
While their provincial cousins continue to maintain a presence in provincial legislatures, the Federal Party has suffered decreasing returns over the years.
“And crucially, a broader confusion about what it is [the New Democrats] Offer, which is [they] standing and what is that [they] Provide, “said Tari Ajadi, assistant professor of Political Science at McGill University.” That is a massive issue. “
Jonathan Malloy, a professor of political science at the University of Carleton, said he believes that the results of the election night focused mainly on the fear voter to President Donald Trump, who led the NDP supporters to the liberals.
“The party had a very bad night, but it could point out a specific reason,” he said. “So, that is the comfort for them.”
But Ajadi said that while Trump’s fear was a significant factor, it is the internal functioning of the NDP that needs to be examined after many of their seats went to the conservatives, more than they lost to the liberals.
“That is A remarkable situation and that talks about what I think is an existential crisis for the party, “Ajadi said.
The party has failed to mobilize its support in a significant way and, what is crucial, has forgotten or does not understand what constitutes its voter coalition, Ajadi said.
Jagmeet Singh announces that he is renouncing as leader of the NDP as soon as an interim leader can be appointed. At the time of his announcement, Singh was dragging his BC leadership of Burnaby Central.
“You can talk to your high middle -class progressive voters in cities,” he said. “But if you forget your base in terms of automatic workers, in terms of working class people … I mean, it is notable for me.”
The party has not been a credible defender of the person who works in a long time, he said.
“To return to a space where that coalition results, they will not have to recover the votes of the liberals. They will have votes of the conservatives.”
Lawlor said he thinks there will be another incarnation of the NDP. But one of the challenges of this choice was that much of the compromised voter base of the NDP was discontent and disappeared.
Loss of union support from the private sector to conservatives
The loss of organized work of the private sector for conservatives is an important problem and a real success in the center of the party and the traditional vision of what the NDP is, he said.
Lawlor said the party mistakenly believed that it could obtain the support of those who are widely identified as socially progressive. However, that coalition was not strong enough to defend the part.
“They have to attract a young person -class voter base again, if you want to rebuild the structure,” he said.
Lawlor said there is a wide segment of voters who could be part of that base. She said that at least they are willing to take a look at the NDP at the time of voting to see if what they have on offer is attractive, even if it is just a place to park their vote.
“They can decide on which Foundation will rest the next incarnation of the NDP, but they need something, a basic voting coalition in which you can predictably trust so that they do not end with seven seats again, so they do not end up losing the status of the party,” he said.
