Welcome to the online version of Of the policy desktopA night bulletin that provides the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Politics team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign.
In today’s newsletter, Adam Edelman and Scott Wong take a look at the attempts of New York Democrats to respond to the redistribution effort of Texas Republicans, and how he illustrates the lack of options available to the party before the 2026 parcas. Meanwhile, Steve Kornacki analyzes the approval ratings of the first and second term of Trump and what they mean in terms of establishing the next elections.
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New York Democrats reveal their own redistribution scheme of districts in the middle of the decade, pointing to future elections
By Adam Edelman and Scott Wong
As Texas Republicans slowly advance with plans to draw again Maps from Congress in the middle of the decade, Democrats in New York advanced on Tuesday with their own scheme to counteract the redistribution efforts of districts of the Republican Party.
But the effort faces a long and hard path and would not be programmed to enter into force for years, illustrating the limited options available to the Democrats while looking for ways to counteract the redistribution game of Republican districts in Texas.
Legislative Democrats in the Blue Fortress announced a bill that would allow state legislators in Albany to redistribution of districts in the middle of the decade, but only if another state did first.
The proposal, if promulgated, would effectively establish the perspective of a National Tit-For-Tat network between Republicans and Democrats, with the control of the House of Representatives in Washington potentially in the line.
However, there are key differences between what is happening in New York and what is happening in Texas, including the time of any real map change. Texas Republicans seek to immediately promulgate the new limits of the district for the 2026 elections.
The bill in New York, which is technically a legislated constitutional amendment, would allow the legislature to re -draw the districts of Congress if another State participates in the redistribution of districts of the decade in the middle of the decade.
It would have to approve the legislature in two consecutive sessions, and then be approved by the voters to a vote measure. In theory, that means that any new maps that would be created would not be in its place until the 2028 elections.
Read more of ADAM and Scott →
Where Trump is in the surveys, and how that compares with his first term
Steve Kornacki analysis
Like Trump’s first presidency, the second is developing in a polarized political atmosphere. But although it is not massive, there is A key difference so far in how the public perceives Trump’s leadership.
Our average independent public surveys considers that the president’s work approval index is 43%. This is a low number historically, but it is also a higher level that at this time in 2017, the first year of Trump’s first term:
Our average consists of 13 surveys published in the last two weeks, and it is worth noting that this list includes a Gallup survey that puts Trump’s approval by 37%, which is 3 to 8 points lower than any other survey in the average. So Trump is a little better than him than eight years ago (or not so bad, depending on how you want to look at him).
As the mid -period landscape of 2026 takes shape, a key question is what level should the approval of Trump’s work so that Republicans have the opportunity to maintain control of the camera, where a net change of only three seats would cost them.
With the electorate highly ordered along partisan lines and many more seats now safely in the hands of any of the parties, the battlefield is unusually small.
The Republican party does not have to become a democratic terrain to maintain the majority, which means that the party could in 2026 without a widely popular Trump. The Democrats limited their losses to a handful of seats of the House of Representatives in the partial persons of 2022 despite the low work approval index of then President Joe Biden (44% in the exit survey), reinforcing the hopes of the Republican Party in this front.
If Trump can remain above his first -term levels and increase his current position at some points, the playing field could be very competitive next year.
Of course, if your approval moves some points in the other direction, the story could be very different.
It was around this point in the calendar that the numbers of several presidents changed abruptly. In the second mandate of George W. Bush, chaos in Iraq, the controversy about the federal response to Hurricane Katrina and his condemned nomination of Harriet Miers to the Supreme Court sent its approval index to a tail tail from which it never recovered.
And at this time four years ago, Biden’s average approval sat 53%. But in a short time, the disastrous retirement of Afghanistan developed, Biden’s position sank and never recovered.
That said, the abrupt and dramatic changes in his image have not been the story of Trump during the 10 years that the national political scene has occupied. This is a president, and a man, whom most people occurred for a long time. Most people, but not all.
🗞️ The other main stories today
- 📣 Epstein Fallout: Democratic leaders cannot stop talking about freeing Jeffrey Epstein’s archives, the rare problem that has driven a gap between Donald Trump and his magician base and has been an annoying discomfort for Republican leaders for weeks. Read more →
- 🙅 Epstein Fallout, Cont. The Chamber’s Supervision Committee rejected a request from Ghislaine Maxwell’s lawyers to grant their immunity in exchange for testifying to Congress. Read more →
- 💬 North Korea speaks: Kim Jong’s sister said that while the relationship between her brother and Trump “is not bad”, the United States must accept the country isolated as a state of nuclear weapons. Read more →
- ⚖️ LEGBO LEGBO: The Department of Justice filed a complaint claiming misconduct by a federal judge who supervises several cases that involve the Trump administration, including a key deportation case. Read more →
- ✈️ In the air: For years, extravagant theories about the United States government use aircraft to spray harmful chemicals on Homes of the United States or the powerful elites that control the climate were relegated outside society. Not anymore. Read more →
- 😬 That is uncomfortable: A sheriff office in Oklahoma is investigating an incident during a meeting of the State Board of Education last week that, according to the reports, involved images of naked women on television of the office of the state’s superintendent. Read more →
- 📊 New numbers: The main external groups that support Senate Democratic candidates are promoting new fundraising numbers, first shared with NBC News, before a deadline to inform the collection of super PAC funds at the end of this week. But the figures are significantly lower than those of the republican counterparts of the groups. Read more →
That’s all of the politics desk for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Scott Bland and Dylan EBS.
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