The clouds of war have thickened with the growing warmad of India.
The terrorist attack in Pahalgama in busy Kashmir and the massacre of about two dozen tourists seem to have provided the excuse that the Modi government has been looking for to increase its warming. Jingoism has reached new heights. Rational voices are drowning in a crap of madness. The control line is already warming up with the exchange of fire between the Indian and Pakistani troops.
Nueva Delhi is building a case for aggression by trying to blame Pakistan for Pahalgam’s terrorist attack. But he has not failed to corroborate his accusation. The main reason for the vehemence of India is that the terrorist attack has destroyed the narration that the situation in busy Kashmir is completely normal and that people have accepted New Delhi’s decision to cancel the autonomous state of the territory. Modi’s government is not willing to accept its own intelligence failure.
Some Indian analysts say that such a daring attack in one of the most protected areas could not be possible without local support for militants. The fact is that even the use of brute force has failed to crush the fight of the puppy for their right of self -determination. According to the New York Times, “India has not officially identified any group that has carried out the massacre, and has publicly presented few evidence to support his claim that Pakistan was behind her.”
Although Indian officials argue that their investigation still continues, the Modi government has already involved Pakistan in the terrorist attack.
To support their statement, according to international media reports that cite officials, “in the information sessions to the diplomats of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Indian officials have described the past patterns of support of Pakistan for terrorist groups …”. Interestingly, a few hours after the terrorist attack, New Delhi announced a series of punitive actions against Pakistan. While heading to an electoral campaign in Bihar, the Indian prime minister warned about “unimaginable punishment for attackers and their sponsors.”
Indian leaders in their arrogance seem to forget the dangers of the military escalation.
It is evident that Modi’s government’s war cry against Pakistan is an attempt to divert the attention of the world of his own failure in the occupied territory. There are strong indications that India plans to launch military attacks on multiple objectives despite the absence of any evidence that Pakistan is linked to the last terrorist attack.
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Even a limited military strike of India could lead to a broader conflagration. The Indian calculation that military actions against Pakistan could be maintained below the nuclear threshold is fallacious. It would be an extremely dangerous escalation in one of the most volatile regions in the world. The two nations in southern Asia have been on the edge of the conflict many times before. But today’s situation seems to be much more serious with the cessation of all diplomatic channels between the two countries.
India’s decision to unilaterally suspend the Treaty to the Water of the Indo, which has survived three wars between the two countries, is sinister. Although it may not be possible to block the flow of water, Pakistan sees the reckless action of India as a “declaration of war”. Islamabad has announced its own retaliation actions.
Nueva Delhi seems to have forgotten the lesson of his 2019 air incursion and the rapid response of Pakistan that knocked down an Indian combat plane. It was the American diplomatic intervention that prevented the greatest escalation of a situation that could have been completely out of control, with disastrous consequences for regional peace. Indian leaders in their arrogance seem to forget the dangers of military escalation in a highly fuel environment. The belief that war can produce rapid results is extremely dangerous. It is much easier to start a war than to finish it. As powerful for a country, it cannot reach the result.
There are so many lessons to learn from several wars in recent history, which ended in humiliation even for the most powerful countries. One cannot stop agreeing with the words of an international diplomat that “the more the conflict continues, the more difficult it will be to have a diplomatic solution.” The illusion of achieving rapid military success often leads to endless stunned. It is particularly relevant in the India-Pakistan case. The two countries have been locked in a war forever, both open and undercover. For a long time they have blamed each other for fighting a war of power. The slogans of punishing Pakistan or punishing India only close the door for the resolution of pending problems.
What happened in Pahalgam must be convicted, but the tragedy should not be used for heating. There is also a lesson for Pakistan, where, too, there is no shortage of warmongers who flaunt the country’s nuclear capacity or make other irresponsible comments, as the Minister of Defense did. We are not interested in exacerbating the situation. It is necessary to adopt a more rational approach even in the face of provocation. It is necessary to go back from the edge.
The result of the war is always uncertain, and the struggle often produces involuntary consequences. There is a tendency for wars to expand, become more expensive and last more than expected. The breakdown of diplomatic ties between India and Pakistan has certainly made communication more difficult, but there are other international channels that should be used to reduce temperature and create an atmosphere for dialogue.
In 2002, there was an imminent threat of a complete war between the two countries, but sanity prevailed. Not only war was avoided, but also a more substantive peace process between India and Pakistan. Unfortunately, war hysteria orchestrated by the ultra -nationalist modi government has closed all negotiations.
India is under the illusion that it has military superiority to dismantle Pakistan. New Delhi has chosen this time to increase things when the world is concerned about other important conflicts. But you must understand that war flames could also cost India a lot.
The writer is author and journalist.
zhussain100@yahoo.com
UNKNOWN: @hidhussain
Posted in Dawn, April 30, 2025
