Welcome to the online version of Of the policy desktopA night bulletin that provides the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Politics team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign.
In today’s edition, we immerse ourselves in the implications of Sherrod Brown’s decision to try a return from the Senate in Ohio. In addition, Steve Kornacki gives meaning to the new voting data that show the democrats that are coming in the generic ballot of the congress, but deeply unpopular with the voters.
Register to receive this bulletin in your entrance tray every day of the week here.
– Adam Wollner
Democrats get another great victory in the recruitment of the Senate
Former Senator Sherrod Brown plans to launch an offer to return to the Senate in Ohio, an important recruitment victory for the Democrats who need to catch every break they can in their struggle uphill for the majority in the camera.
Brown is seen by the Democrats as one of the few, if not the only ones, members of his party who could place the seat in the red trend state at play next year. After completing three periods in the Senate, he lost re -election by 3.5 points last year when Donald Trump took Ohio for 11 points. And the party in power generally faces winds against in an election of mid -period.
If Brown wins the nomination, he would face the senator of the Republican Party Jon Husted, who was appointed to meet the rest of the mandate of vice president JD Vance earlier this year.
Battleground recruits: The news occurs only weeks after the Democrats successfully convinced former governor Roy Cooper to enter the North Carolina Senate career. Democrats feel even better about the possibilities that Cooper, who has won several state competitions, in a Trump state has led more closely (3 points) in 2024, particularly with the regular Republican Thom Tillis who has refused to look for another term.
The greatest remaining question on the Senate map for Democrats is Maine. Together with North Carolina, Maine, which Trump lost for 7 points, represents the best opportunity for collection of the Democrats. But the Senator of the Republican Party, Susan Collins, has proven difficult to dismiss, winning her last race for 9 points. Democrats are hope that Governor Janet Mills will take it, but has not yet made a final decision.
A difficult map: Even if the Democrats manage to turn North Carolina and Maine, while maintaining battlefields such as Georgia and Michigan, they would still need to win another two Republican seats to take control of the Senate.
That is where the states of Republican tumbos such as Ohio, Iowa and Texas come into play. There is a growing democratic field in the state of Hawkeye: Josh Turek, a state legislator and former Paralympic with two gold medals, is the last participant in the race for the senator of the Senator of the Joni Ernst Republican Party, as Bridget Bowman reports.
And the redistribution of districts has provided the contestants of the Democratic Senate in Texas with a high platform, as Ben Kamisar and Andrew Arenge point out. State representative James Talarico and former representative Beto O’Rourke, who are considering offers for the seat of Republican Senator John Cornyn, have flooded the area with digital ads and media appearances in recent weeks. Former representative Colin Allred, who is already in operation, has put the redistribution of districts at the center of his message on the road.
Republican DNA of these trios states can be too much for Democrats to overcome. But if they continue to present strong recruits, at least they can make the careers competitive and force the Republicans to direct the resources there they prefer to use in another place.
Read more from Bridget Bowman, Ryan Nobles, Julie Tsirkin and Henry J. Gómez in Brown’s decision →
🗳️ More mid -period news:
- Trump supported Lieutenant Governor of Georgia, Burt Jones, in the governor’s career on state attorney Chris Carr.
- Republican representative Barry Moore is postulated to replace the Alabama Senator Tommy Tuberville, who runs next year for governor.
How the Democrats lead the generic vote despite their weak image
Steve Kornacki analysis
The Democratic Party is deeply unpopular at this time. The participation of Americans who see it negatively has reached its highest level in decades and its general image is markedly worse than that of the Republican Party.
Our own NBC news survey saw this trend earlier this year and recent surveys show it persistent, including one of CNBC last week that found that only 22% of Americans have a positive perception of the Democratic Party, compared to 55% negative. For the Republican party, it was 36% positive and 46% negative.
And yet, the same CNBC survey also put the Democrats for five points on the generic ballot of the Congress, a key indicator as the mid -period playing field 2026 takes shape. The question raises: how could a party with such a sad image that will not be surprised?
The answer has to do with how Democrats think about their own party. Unlike Republicans, who as a group have an overwhelmingly positive vision of the Republican party, only a plurality of Democrats really has a favorable vision of their own party.
Most Democrats are neutral or hostile to their own party. But, crucially, almost none of them is disappointed in a way that will take them to vote against the game next year. In fact, the CNBC survey finds that democratic voters are a little more united behind their own party when it comes to the generic vote than Republicans.
This indicates that the hostility to President Donald Trump and the Republican Party remains the central motivating force for democratic voters, more than enough to cancel any repair they have on their own side. To further break the CNBC survey, only 44% of those who prefer a Congress controlled by Democrat sees the party favorably. On the contrary, 79% of those who favor Republican control see the Republican party positively.
This suggests that the frustrations of the Democrats with the Democratic Party are mainly of tactical and strategic nature. When Trump’s second terms began, our NBC news survey found that 65% of the Democrats wanted their cavara party to oppose Trump instead of seeking commitment, a reversal since the beginning of Trump’s first mandate. Many democratic voters seem to feel that their party is simply not fighting Trump with enough energy or the right leaders.
🗞️ The other main stories today
- 🏛️ In the scene: The National Guard troops began to arrive at the DC armory to inform for the duty to carry out Trump’s directive to address the crime in the capital of the nation. Read more →
- 🪧takin ‘to the streets: Dozens of liberal groups presented plans to celebrate around 50 events in 20 states to protest the redistribution efforts of Republican districts in Texas. Read more →
- 🗺️ Redistribution of more recent districts: Nine Texas Democratic senators left the floor when their Republican colleagues began to discuss their redistribution efforts of districts, although the measure did not blocked the passage of the legislation. In the camera, the Republicans warned that they would call a new special session if the current expiring on Friday.
- 📝 Inflation Report: The rhythm of consumer inflation remained stable in July, the Office of Labor Statistics reported, since food and energy prices remained subjected. Read more →
- ➡️ BLS Shackup: Trump said he planned to nominate EJ Antoni, the chief economist of the Heritage Conservative Foundation, as the new commissioner of the Office of Labor Statistics. Read more →
- 🖼️ Night in the museum: The White House is carrying out an expansive review of Smithsonian Museums’s exhibitions, materials and operations, before the 250th anniversary of the United States, to ensure that it is aligned with Trump’s opinions about history. Read more →
- Follow the updates of live policy →
That’s all of the politics desk for now. Today’s bulletin was compiled by Adam Wollner.
If you have comments, I like it or do not like, send us an email to PolyticsNewsletter@nbcuni.com
And if you are a fan, share with everyone and anyone. They can register here.
