How Texas’ proposed map would affect the battle for the House: From the Politics Desk

In general, there would be no single district in which the presidential contest was decided by a single digit in Texas.

If promulgated, a three -seat republican gain of this plan seems almost automatic. But there would probably be suspense in southern Texas, where the two Democrats attacked, representatives Henry Cuellar and Vicente González would have an opportunity to fight.

While this strongly Hispanic border region has historically been overwhelmingly democratic, Trump made amazing incursions here in the last two elections. But locally, the Democrats still have most offices and retain a powerful infrastructure. It is an open question if this support for Trump will manifest in the participation of Republican candidates when the president himself is not on the electoral ballot.

On paper, Cuellar has the best opportunity to survive. It was re -elected by 5 points last year, even when Trump took his 28th district for 7 points. Under the lines proposed by the Republican Party, Trump’s margin would mark up to 10 points, a harder job to Cuellar but one that his 2024 performance suggests that he can handle. Of course, Cuellar faces another form of political danger also in the form of federal corruption positions. If you are not in the mixture in 2026, your seat will become much more difficult to maintain for the Democrats.

As for González, he clung to his seat for approximately 3 points last year, since Trump won the 34th district for 4 points. That margin of Trump would increase to 10 points with the new map of the Republican party, which makes González a helpless, especially with Republicans who recruit a strong challenger. But if the intermediate environment next year is favorable for the Democrats, González would undoubtedly be competitive, especially with the name of Trump absent from the ballot.

At the national level, the Texas Republican plan would increase the number of Democrats representing the districts who voted for Trump last year to 16. And with Ohio Republicans ready to embark on their own redistribution effort of districts, that number would probably increase even more to 18 or 19. These additional opportunities are crucial for the possibility of the republican party to have the camera: a net loss of only three seats Control to Democrats.

The latest in the redistribution fight of Texas districts:

• The president of the House of Representatives of Texas, Dustin Burrows, quickly entered the Chamber inside and outside the session today, without the minimum number of state legislators to move to regular businesses after dozens of Democrats fled the State.
• Appearing with the governor of Illinois, JB Pritzker and a group of Democrats from the House of Representatives of Texas, the president of the National Democratic Committee, Ken Martin, said that his party “does not turn” with Trump and takes “a knife to a knife fight.”
• Pritzker said he would consider calling a special session to reopen the maps of the Illinois Congress, where Democrats already control 14 of 17 seats.
• The senator of the Republican Party John Cornyn is urging the FBI to help the agencies of application of the Texas law to find or arrest the Democratic legislators who abandoned the State.
• Some Republicans who represent competitive districts in blue states are talking against the impulse of their party to draw again the lines of Congress in Texas.

How Trump is remodeling government data

By Shannon Pettypiece

Meteorological data collected by some meteorological balloons have been stopped. HIV statistics among transgender people rubbed from the website of disease control and prevention centers. And basic public figures, such as how many people work for the federal government, have been frozen or delayed for months.

Throughout the federal government, President Donald Trump has exercised his influence on the data used by researchers, economists and scientists, an effort that was being developed largely behind the scene until Friday, when he fired the head of the Office of Labor Statistics.

The agency collects and publishes economic data, and Trump accused his former boss, Erika Mcedarfer, to give false employment data last week showing a recent deceleration in the labor market.

“The numbers were manipulated. Biden was not right, I was doing it wrong,” Trump said in a CNBC interview, referring to job numbers.

The presidents of both political parties often seek to turn government data to their benefit, the cherry collection numbers that put their agendas in the best possible way. But the dismissal of Mtientefer has generated criticisms of economists, Wall Street investors and even republicans who are raising broader concerns about the continuous reliability of government data that are once considered the gold standard.

“We have to look for objective statistics somewhere. When people who provide statistics are fired, make it much harder to issue judgments that, you already know, statistics will not be politicized,” Senator Rand Paul, R-Ky said. “You really can’t make the numbers different or better shooting people who count.”

Read more from Shannon →

That’s all of the politics desk for now. Today’s bulletin was compiled by Adam Wollner.

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